Congress Swing TrackerLegislative intelligence Swing vote analysis

S.Con.Res. 33: A concurrent resolution setting forth the congressional budget for the United States Government for fiscal year 2026 and setting forth the appropriate budgetary levels for fiscal years 2027 through 2035. · Congress Swing Tracker

S.Con.Res. 33119th CongressEconomics and Public Finance

A concurrent resolution setting forth the congressional budget for the United States Government for fiscal year 2026 and setting forth the appropriate budgetary levels for fiscal years 2027 through 2035.

Sponsored by Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) · 0 active

Latest action: On agreeing to the resolution Agreed to by the Yeas and Nays: 215 - 211, 1 Present (Roll no. 143). (text: CR H3147-3146)

Read the summary

Where it standsBefore the Senate

Adopted

Senate: passedApr 23, 2026
House: passedApr 29, 2026

14 senators score as swing votes

Summary

, via Congress.gov

Summary on Congress.gov

This concurrent resolution establishes the congressional budget for the federal government for FY2026, sets forth budgetary levels for FY2027-FY2035, and provides reconciliation instructions for legislation that increases the deficit.

The resolution recommends levels and amounts for FY2026-FY2035 for

federal revenues,

new budget authority,

budget outlays,

deficits,

public debt,

debt held by the public, and

the major functional categories of spending.

Read full summary

It also recommends levels and amounts for Social Security and Postal Service discretionary administrative expenses for the purpose of budget enforcement in the Senate.

The resolution includes reconciliation instructions that direct the House Homeland Security Committee, the House Judiciary Committee, the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, and the Senate Judiciary Committee to submit recommendations for legislation that will increase the deficit over FY2026-FY2035 by not more than $70 billion. Each committee must submit the recommendations to the House or Senate Budget Committee by May 15, 2026.

(Under current law, reconciliation bills are considered by Congress using expedited legislative procedures that prevent a filibuster and restrict amendments in the Senate.)

In addition, the resolution establishes reserve funds that allow certain adjustments to committee allocations and other budgetary levels to accommodate (1) reconciliation legislation, and (2) legislation that would not increase the deficit over FY2026-FY2035 and supports changes to immigration enforcement and border security policy undertaken by the President.

How the projections held up

Each member’s recorded vote compared with their swing projection from before the vote. A member by voting against most of their own party.

House

On Agreeing to the ResolutionPassed215 yea, 211 nayApril 29, 2026 · Roll call 143

How members in each band voted on this House vote, by their projection before the vote
BandBand before the vote	VotedVoted yea or nay	BrokeBroke with party	Share
Swing	44	0	0%
Middle	268	0	0%
Entrenched	112	0	0%
Insufficient data

Committees and subjects

Committees

Senate Committee on the Budget · SenateDischarged from · Referred to

Subjects

Border security and unlawful immigration
Budget deficits and national debt
Budget process
Congressional committees
House Committee on Homeland Security
House Committee on the Judiciary
House of Representatives
Legislative rules and procedure
Postal service
Senate
Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs
Senate Committee on the Judiciary

Show all 16 subjects

Social Security Administration

Senate · 100 House · 433

Model

v3defaultv2

Directional: count only breaks toward the other party Why do scores change?

How the House breaks down

43Swing 70–100
272Middle 30–70
116Entrenched 0–30
2Insufficient data not ranked

Members fall into . 2 representatives don’t have enough data yet and are marked “insufficient data”. Non-voting delegates are not counted. The bill is not before the House right now; these scores show where members would stand.

Key players in the House

Ranked by swing score, 0–100 · swing-v3

Bars show each input from 0 to 100: ideology gap, scorecard gap, , and the . is the seat’s partisan lean, and shows how much of the input data a score has. Where the House has voted, each member’s appears with the projection made before it.

Similar past votes, House

Earlier behind swing-v3’s input

Similar votes count toward swing-v3 in the House: total similarity weight 158.0 (needs 5.0).

S.Con.Res. 33 · Apr 29, 2026 · Roll call 503On Agreeing to the ResolutionSetting forth the congressional budget for the United States Government for fiscal year 2026 and setting forth the appropriate budgetary levels for fiscal years 2027 through 2035
PassedSame bill×3.0
H.Con.Res. 113 · Jul 22, 2026 · Roll call 641On Agreeing to the ResolutionEstablishing the congressional budget for the United States Government for fiscal year 2027 and setting forth the appropriate budgetary levels for fiscal years 2028 through 2036
PassedShared subjects×1.0
H.Con.Res. 14 · Apr 10, 2025 · Roll call 99On Motion to Concur in the Senate AmendmentEstablishing the congressional budget for the United States Government for fiscal year 2025 and setting forth the appropriate budgetary levels for fiscal years 2026 through 2034
PassedShared subjects×1.0
H.Con.Res. 14 · Feb 25, 2025 · Roll call 49On Agreeing to the Resolution, as AmendedEstablishing the congressional budget for the United States Government for fiscal year 2025 and setting forth the appropriate budgetary levels for fiscal years 2026 through 2034
PassedShared subjects×1.0
H.R. 6500 · Sep 1, 2026 · Roll call 646On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Concur in the Senate AmendmentsAGOA Extension Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 9770 · Jul 21, 2026 · Roll call 632On PassageMaking continuing appropriations for fiscal year 2027, and for other purposes
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 8595 · Jul 15, 2026 · Roll call 607On PassageNational Security, Department of State, and Related Programs Appropriations Act, 2027
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 8595 · Jul 15, 2026 · Roll call 605On Agreeing to the Amendment
FailedSame policy area×0.5

Show 17 more

H.R. 8595 · Jul 15, 2026 · Roll call 603On Agreeing to the Amendment
FailedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 8595 · Jul 15, 2026 · Roll call 602On Agreeing to the Amendment
FailedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 8595 · Jul 15, 2026 · Roll call 601On Agreeing to the Amendment
FailedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 8646 · Jun 4, 2026 · Roll call 565On PassageAgriculture, Rural Development, Food and Drug Administration, and Related Agency Appropriations Act, 2027
PassedSame policy area

Cosponsors

0 active

This bill has no cosponsors.

How the swing score works

Ideology gapHow far a member’s DW-NOMINATE voting score sits from their party’s median in the same chamber.

Scorecard gapHow far their Heritage Action and LCV ratings stray from their party’s average, using the groups’ votes on similar bills where available.

Cross-pressureHow strongly their district or state leans toward the other party, from our own computed partisan lean.

Similar votesHow often they voted against their own party on earlier roll calls about this bill or similar ones.

Committee bonusMembers of the committees handling the bill decide whether it moves, so they get a boost.

Cosponsor checkThe sponsor and active cosponsors have already committed, so they drop toward entrenched.

All voting members	426	0	0%

Senate

On the Concurrent ResolutionPassed50 yea, 48 nayApril 23, 2026 · Roll call 105

How members in each band voted on this Senate vote, by their projection before the vote
BandBand before the vote	VotedVoted yea or nay	BrokeBroke with party	Share
Swing	15	2	13%
Middle	59	0	0%
Entrenched	23	0	0%
All voting members	97	2	2%

: Pair any member who broke with one who stayed with their party: in 93% of those pairs, the one who broke had the higher swing score before the vote. Chance would be 50%.

Projections from swing-v3, computed with data from before the vote. Present and not voting never count as breaking.

1
Jared F. GoldenDemocrat · Maine 2nd · Lean R+4On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 19% of 278 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: Heritage Action, LCV
95Swing
Vote on passage, Apr 29, 2026:NayProjected: 95 Swing
ContactCall 202-225-6306 Website
2
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDemocrat · Washington 3rd · Lean R+2On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 18% of 306 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: Heritage Action, LCV
93Swing
Vote on passage, Apr 29, 2026:NayProjected: 93 Swing
ContactCall
3
Brian K. FitzpatrickRepublican · Pennsylvania 1st · Lean D+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 62% of 308 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: Heritage Action, LCV
93Swing
Vote on passage, Apr 29, 2026:YeaProjected: 93 Swing
ContactCall
4
Michael LawlerRepublican · New York 17th · Lean D+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 49% of 306 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: Heritage Action, LCV
92Swing
Vote on passage, Apr 29, 2026:YeaProjected: 92 Swing
ContactCall
5
Thomas H. KeanRepublican · New Jersey 7th · Lean EVENOn the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 51% of 303 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: Heritage Action, LCV
91Swing
Vote on passage, Apr 29, 2026:Not votingProjected: 91 Swing
ContactCall
6
Henry CuellarDemocrat · Texas 28th · Lean R+2On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 9% of 308 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: Heritage Action, LCV
Today89Swing
Vote on passage, Apr 29, 2026:NayProjected at the vote: 90 Swing (today: 89)
7
Kevin KileyIndependent · California 3rd · Lean R+2On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 45% of 307 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: Heritage Action, LCV
89Swing
Vote on passage, Apr 29, 2026:PresentProjected: 89 Swing
Contact
8
Don BaconRepublican · Nebraska 2nd · Lean D+3On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 41% of 308 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: Heritage Action, LCV
89Swing
Vote on passage, Apr 29, 2026:YeaProjected: 89 Swing
ContactCall
9
David G. ValadaoRepublican · California 22nd · Lean R+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 42% of 305 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: Heritage Action, LCV
88Swing
Vote on passage, Apr 29, 2026:YeaProjected: 88 Swing
ContactCall
10
Young KimRepublican · California 40th · Lean R+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 43% of 305 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: Heritage Action, LCV
88Swing
Vote on passage, Apr 29, 2026:YeaProjected: 88 Swing
ContactCall