Congress Swing TrackerLegislative intelligence Swing vote analysis

H.R. 7128: TRIA Program Reauthorization Act of 2026 · Congress Swing Tracker

H.R. 7128119th CongressFinance and Financial Sector

TRIA Program Reauthorization Act of 2026

Sponsored by Rep. Mike Flood (R-NE) · 4 active : 1 Republican, 3 Democrats

Latest action: Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs.

Read the summary

Where it standsPassed House, now in the Senate

Passed House

House: passedJun 29, 2026
Senate: next
President: not yet

8 senators score as swing votes

Summary

, via Congress.gov

Summary on Congress.gov

TRIA Program Reauthorization Act of 2026

This bill reauthorizes the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program through 2034. The program covers a portion of the losses incurred by private insurers for property and casualty insurance coverage for terrorism risk.

The bill also increases the amount of property and casualty insurance losses required for certification under the program beginning in 2029 and provides statutory authority for Department of the Treasury public notification requirements regarding the determination process for whether an act qualifies as an act of terrorism under this program.

How the projections held up

Each member’s recorded vote compared with their swing projection from before the vote. A member by voting against most of their own party.

House

On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendedPassed373 yea, 15 nayJune 29, 2026 · Roll call 229

How members in each band voted on this House vote, by their projection before the vote
BandBand before the vote	VotedVoted yea or nay	BrokeBroke with party	Share
Swing	40	1	3%
Middle	237	14	6%
Entrenched	107	0	0%

Committees and subjects

Committees

House Committee on Financial Services · HouseReported by · Markup by · Referred to
Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs · SenateReferred to

Subjects

Disaster relief and insurance
Insurance industry and regulation
Life, casualty, property insurance
State and local government operations
Terrorism

Senate · 100 House · 433

Model

v3defaultv2

Directional: count only breaks toward the other party Why do scores change?

How the House breaks down

49Swing 70–100
262Middle 30–70
116Entrenched 0–30
6Insufficient data not ranked

Members fall into . 6 representatives don’t have enough data yet and are marked “insufficient data”. Non-voting delegates are not counted. The bill is not before the House right now; these scores show where members would stand.

Key players in the House

Ranked by swing score, 0–100 · swing-v3

Bars show each input from 0 to 100: ideology gap, scorecard gap, , and the . is the seat’s partisan lean, and shows how much of the input data a score has. Where the House has voted, each member’s appears with the projection made before it.

Similar past votes, House

Earlier behind swing-v3’s input

Similar votes count toward swing-v3 in the House: total similarity weight 19.0 (needs 5.0).

H.R. 6955 · Jul 21, 2026 · Roll call 631On PassageMain Street Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 1181 · Jul 14, 2026 · Roll call 600On PassageProtecting Privacy in Purchases Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 3383 · Dec 11, 2025 · Roll call 327On PassageIncreasing Investor Opportunities Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 3383 · Dec 11, 2025 · Roll call 326On Agreeing to the Amendment
FailedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 3383 · Dec 11, 2025 · Roll call 325On Agreeing to the Amendment
FailedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 3383 · Dec 11, 2025 · Roll call 324On Agreeing to the Amendment
FailedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 3357 · Jul 23, 2025 · Roll call 216On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendedEnhancing Multi-Class Share Disclosures Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 1919 · Jul 17, 2025 · Roll call 200On PassageAnti-CBDC Surveillance State Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5

Show 17 more

S. 1582 · Jul 17, 2025 · Roll call 199On PassageGENIUS Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 3633 · Jul 17, 2025 · Roll call 198On PassageCLARITY Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
S.J.Res. 13 · May 20, 2025 · Roll call 136On PassageProviding for congressional disapproval of the rule submitted by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency of the Department of the Treasury relating to the review of applications under the Bank Merger Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
S.J.Res. 18 · Apr 9, 2025 · Roll call 95On PassageDisapproving the rule submitted by the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection relating to “Overdraft Lending: Very Large Financial Institutions”

Cosponsors

4 active

Show all 4 cosponsors

How the swing score works

Ideology gapHow far a member’s DW-NOMINATE voting score sits from their party’s median in the same chamber.

Scorecard gapHow far their Heritage Action and LCV ratings stray from their party’s average, using the groups’ votes on similar bills where available.

Cross-pressureHow strongly their district or state leans toward the other party, from our own computed partisan lean.

Similar votesHow often they voted against their own party on earlier roll calls about this bill or similar ones.

Committee bonusMembers of the committees handling the bill decide whether it moves, so they get a boost.

Cosponsor checkThe sponsor and active cosponsors have already committed, so they drop toward entrenched.

All voting members	388	15	4%

1
Michael LawlerRepublican · New York 17th · Lean D+1House Committee on Financial ServicesOn the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
Committee
Broke with party on 10% of 37 similar votes
Today95Swing
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected at the vote: 96 Swing (today: 95)
ContactCall 202-225-6506 Website
2
Josh GottheimerDemocrat · New Jersey 5th · Lean D+2House Committee on Financial ServicesOn the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
Committee
Broke with party on 24% of 36 similar votes
95Swing
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected: 95 Swing
3
Jared F. GoldenDemocrat · Maine 2nd · Lean R+4On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 34% of 38 similar votes
94Swing
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected: 94 Swing
ContactCall
4
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDemocrat · Washington 3rd · Lean R+2On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 37% of 38 similar votes
93Swing
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected: 93 Swing
ContactCall
5
Brian K. FitzpatrickRepublican · Pennsylvania 1st · Lean D+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 17% of 38 similar votes
92Swing
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected: 92 Swing
ContactCall
6
Henry CuellarDemocrat · Texas 28th · Lean R+2On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 38% of 38 similar votes
90Swing
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected: 90 Swing
ContactCall
7
Laura GillenDemocrat · New York 4th · Lean D+2On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 26% of 9 similar votes
Today88Swing
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected at the vote: 87 Swing (today: 88)
Contact
8
Thomas R. SuozziDemocrat · New York 3rd · Lean EVENOn the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 26% of 33 similar votes
87Swing
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected: 87 Swing
ContactCall
9
Donald G. DavisDemocrat · North Carolina 1st · Lean R+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 34% of 38 similar votes
Today87Swing
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected at the vote: 86 Swing (today: 87)
Contact
10
Adam GrayDemocrat · California 13th · Lean R+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 36% of 13 similar votes
Today86Swing
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:Not votingProjected at the vote: 88 Swing (today: 86)
Contact

Not enough data to rank (6)

These members have less than half of the model’s inputs, so their scores are not banded or ranked.

—
Christian D. MenefeeDemocrat · Texas 18th · Lean D+21On the ballot45% of inputs · missing scorecards, similar votes
Ideology gap
Scorecard gapNo dataCross-pressure
Similar votesNo dataCommitteeNo committee seatToo few votes on similar bills to measure
—Insufficient data
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected: — Insufficient data
—
James GallagherRepublican · California 1st · Lean R+12On the ballot45% of inputs · missing scorecards, similar votes
Ideology gap
Scorecard gapNo dataCross-pressure
Similar votesNo dataCommitteeNo committee seatToo few votes on similar bills to measure
—Insufficient data
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected: — Insufficient data
—
Clay FullerRepublican · Georgia 14th · Lean R+19On the ballot45% of inputs · missing scorecards, similar votes
Ideology gap
Scorecard gapNo dataCross-pressure
Similar votesNo dataCommitteeNo committee seatToo few votes on similar bills to measure
—Insufficient data
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected: — Insufficient data
—
Analilia MejiaDemocrat · New Jersey 11th · Lean D+5On the ballot45% of inputs · missing scorecards, similar votes
Ideology gap
Scorecard gapNo dataCross-pressure
Similar votesNo dataCommitteeNo committee seatToo few votes on similar bills to measure
—Insufficient data
Vote on passage, Jun 29, 2026:YeaProjected: — Insufficient data
—
Aisha WahabDemocrat · California 14th · Lean D+20On the ballot20% of inputs · missing DW-NOMINATE, scorecards, similar votes
Ideology gapNo dataScorecard gapNo dataCross-pressure
Similar votesNo dataCommitteeNo committee seatToo few votes on similar bills to measure
—Insufficient data
—
Everton BlairDemocrat · Georgia 13th · Lean D+21On the ballot20% of inputs · missing DW-NOMINATE, scorecards, similar votes
Ideology gapNo dataScorecard gapNo dataCross-pressure
Similar votesNo dataCommitteeNo committee seatToo few votes on similar bills to measure
—Insufficient data