Congress Swing TrackerLegislative intelligence Swing vote analysis

S.J.Res. 80: A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Bureau of Land Management relating to "National Petroleum Reserve in Alaska Integrated Activity Plan Record of Decision". · Congress Swing Tracker

S.J.Res. 80119th CongressEnergy

A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Bureau of Land Management relating to "National Petroleum Reserve in Alaska Integrated Activity Plan Record of Decision".

Sponsored by Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK) · 1 active : 1 Republican

Latest action: Became Public Law No: 119-47.

Read the summary

Where it standsBecame law

Became law

Senate: passedOct 30, 2025
House: passedNov 18, 2025
President: Signed into lawDec 5, 2025

10 senators score as swing votes

Summary

, via Congress.gov

Summary on Congress.gov

This joint resolution reopens portions of the National Petroleum Reserve for oil and gas leasing. (The reserve is an approximately 23-million-acre area on Alaska’s North Slope.)

Specifically, the joint resolution nullifies a plan submitted by the Bureau of Land Management in a rule titled

National Petroleum Reserve in Alaska Integrated Activity Plan Record of Decision

Read full summary

and issued on April 25, 2022. The 2022 plan replaced the 2020 plan and closed approximately 48% of the reserve to oil and gas leasing in order to protect certain surface resources and uses, such as protecting wildlife and providing subsistence for communities. Thus, the joint resolution removes the protections provided under the 2022 plan and reverts to the 2020 plan.

How the projections held up

Each member’s recorded vote compared with their swing projection from before the vote. A member by voting against most of their own party.

House

On PassagePassed216 yea, 209 nayNovember 18, 2025 · Roll call 296

How members in each band voted on this House vote, by their projection before the vote
BandBand before the vote	VotedVoted yea or nay	BrokeBroke with party	Share
Swing	51	4	8%
Middle	235	0	0%
Entrenched	132	0	0%
Insufficient data

Committees and subjects

Committees

Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources · SenateDischarged from · Referred to

Subjects

Administrative law and regulatory procedures
Alaska
Congressional oversight
Department of the Interior
Mining
Oil and gas

Senate · 100 House · 433

Model

v3defaultv2

Directional: count only breaks toward the other party Why do scores change?

How the House breaks down

63Swing 70–100
222Middle 30–70
145Entrenched 0–30
3Insufficient data not ranked

Members fall into . 3 representatives don’t have enough data yet and are marked “insufficient data”. Non-voting delegates are not counted. The bill is not before the House right now; these scores show where members would stand.

Key players in the House

Ranked by swing score, 0–100 · swing-v3, directional

: only movement toward the other party counts, so members who sit further from the center than their party no longer score as swing votes.

Bars show each input from 0 to 100: ideology gap, scorecard gap, , and the . is the seat’s partisan lean, and shows how much of the input data a score has.

Similar past votes, House

Earlier behind swing-v3’s input

Similar votes count toward swing-v3 in the House: total similarity weight 65.0 (needs 5.0).

S.J.Res. 80 · Nov 18, 2025 · Roll call 295On PassageProviding for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Bureau of Land Management relating to “National Petroleum Reserve in Alaska Integrated Activity Plan Record of Decision
PassedSame bill×3.0
H.J.Res. 131 · Nov 18, 2025 · Roll call 294On PassageProviding for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Bureau of Land Management relating to “Coastal Plain Oil and Gas Leasing Program Record of Decision”
PassedShared subjects×1.0
H.J.Res. 20 · Feb 27, 2025 · Roll call 52On PassageProviding for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Department of Energy relating to “Energy Conservation Program: Energy Conservation Standards for Consumer Gas-fired Instantaneous Water Heaters”
PassedShared subjects×1.0
H.R. 26 · Feb 7, 2025 · Roll call 34On PassageProtecting American Energy Production Act
PassedShared subjects×1.0
H.R. 6285 · May 1, 2024 · Roll call 892On PassageAlaska’s Right to Produce Act
PassedShared subjects×1.0
H.R. 1121 · Mar 20, 2024 · Roll call 811On PassageProtecting American Energy Production Act
PassedShared subjects×1.0
H.R. 1640 · Jun 14, 2023 · Roll call 267On PassageSave Our Gas Stoves Act
PassedShared subjects×1.0
H.R. 1640 · Jun 14, 2023 · Roll call 266On Agreeing to the Amendment
FailedShared subjects×1.0

Show 17 more

H.R. 1640 · Jun 14, 2023 · Roll call 265On Agreeing to the Amendment
FailedShared subjects×1.0
H.R. 1501 · Sep 2, 2026 · Roll call 654On PassageProtecting Domestic Mining Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 5587 · Apr 23, 2026 · Roll call 497On PassageHEATS Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 4690 · Apr 22, 2026 · Roll call 494On PassageReliable Federal Infrastructure Act
PassedSame policy area

Cosponsors

1 active

Show all 1 cosponsors

Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)

How the swing score works

Ideology gapHow far a member’s DW-NOMINATE voting score sits from their party’s median in the same chamber.

Scorecard gapHow far their Heritage Action and LCV ratings stray from their party’s average, using the groups’ votes on similar bills where available.

Cross-pressureHow strongly their district or state leans toward the other party, from our own computed partisan lean.

Similar votesHow often they voted against their own party on earlier roll calls about this bill or similar ones.

Committee bonusMembers of the committees handling the bill decide whether it moves, so they get a boost.

Cosponsor checkThe sponsor and active cosponsors have already committed, so they drop toward entrenched.

All voting members	420	4	1%

Senate

On the Joint ResolutionPassed52 yea, 45 nayOctober 30, 2025 · Roll call 599

How members in each band voted on this Senate vote, by their projection before the vote
BandBand before the vote	VotedVoted yea or nay	BrokeBroke with party	Share
Swing	9	1	11%
Middle	59	0	0%
Entrenched	27	0	0%
All voting members	95	1	1%

: Pair any member who broke with one who stayed with their party: in 99% of those pairs, the one who broke had the higher swing score before the vote. Chance would be 50%.

Projections from swing-v3-dir, computed with data from before the vote. Present and not voting never count as breaking.

1
Jared F. GoldenDemocrat · Maine 2nd · Lean R+4On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 49% of 114 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: LCV
Today94Swing
Vote on passage, Nov 18, 2025:NayProjected at the vote: 95 Swing (today: 94)
ContactCall 202-225-6306 Website
2
Brian K. FitzpatrickRepublican · Pennsylvania 1st · Lean D+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 41% of 117 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: LCV
93Swing
Vote on passage, Nov 18, 2025:NayBroke with party
3
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDemocrat · Washington 3rd · Lean R+2On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 46% of 117 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: LCV
Today92Swing
Vote on passage, Nov 18, 2025:NayProjected at the vote: 93 Swing (today: 92)
4
Michael LawlerRepublican · New York 17th · Lean D+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 5% of 117 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: LCV
Today92Swing
Vote on passage, Nov 18, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 79 Swing (today: 92)
5
Henry CuellarDemocrat · Texas 28th · Lean R+2On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 51% of 117 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: LCV
91Swing
Vote on passage, Nov 18, 2025:YeaBroke with party
6
Thomas H. KeanRepublican · New Jersey 7th · Lean EVENOn the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 4% of 114 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: LCV
Today89Swing
Vote on passage, Nov 18, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 77 Swing (today: 89)
7
Don BaconRepublican · Nebraska 2nd · Lean D+3On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 3% of 117 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: LCV
Today89Swing
Vote on passage, Nov 18, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 76 Swing (today: 89)
8
Jennifer A. KiggansRepublican · Virginia 2nd · Lean EVENOn the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 4% of 116 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: LCV
89Swing
Vote on passage, Nov 18, 2025:YeaProjected: 89 Swing
ContactCall
9
Adam GrayDemocrat · California 13th · Lean R+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 53% of 23 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: LCV
Today88Swing
Vote on passage, Nov 18, 2025:NayProjected at the vote: 87 Swing (today: 88)
10
Donald G. DavisDemocrat · North Carolina 1st · Lean R+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Similar votes
CommitteeNo committee seatBroke with party on 43% of 116 similar votesTopic-matched scorecard: LCV
88Swing
Vote on passage, Nov 18, 2025:NayProjected: 88 Swing
ContactCall