Congress Swing TrackerLegislative intelligence Swing vote analysis

S. 1071: National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 · Congress Swing Tracker

S. 1071119th CongressArmed Forces and National Security

National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026

Sponsored by Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) · 1 active : 1 Republican

Latest action: Became Public Law No: 119-60.

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Where it standsBecame law

Became law

Senate: passedAug 1, 2025
House: passedDec 10, 2025
President: Signed into lawDec 18, 2025

7 senators score as swing votes

Summary

, via Congress.gov

Summary on Congress.gov

National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026

This bill sets forth policies and authorities for FY2026 for Department of Defense (DOD) programs and activities, military construction, and the national security programs of the Department of Energy (DOE). The bill also sets forth policies and authorities for the Department of State, the Coast Guard, and the Intelligence Community (IC).

Among other elements, the bill

authorizes the procurement of various items, including aircraft, ships, and missiles;

sets active duty and reserve component personnel strength levels;

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sets policy regarding various aspects of military health care and military compensation;

sets policy regarding DOD acquisitions and acquisition management, including contracting authorities and domestic sourcing;

sets policy for various matters related to DOD interactions with foreign nations, including matters concerning Israel, Ukraine, and the Indo-Pacific;

sets policy for various matters related to DOD cyber operations, cybersecurity, and artificial intelligence;

authorizes specified military construction projects and extends the authorization of certain projects from previous fiscal years;

authorizes the National Nuclear Security Administration, Defense Nuclear Facilities Safety Board, Naval Petroleum Reserves, and Maritime Administration;

sets policy regarding the organization and workforce of the State Department;

sets acquisition and personnel policy for the Coast Guard;

How the projections held up

Each member’s recorded vote compared with their swing projection from before the vote. A member by voting against most of their own party.

House

On PassagePassed312 yea, 112 nayDecember 10, 2025 · Roll call 320

How members in each band voted on this House vote, by their projection before the vote
BandBand before the vote	VotedVoted yea or nay	BrokeBroke with party	Share
Swing	32	0	0%
Middle	196	55	28%
Entrenched	191	55	29%
All

Committees and subjects

Committees

Senate Committee on Veterans' Affairs · SenateDischarged from · Referred to
House Committee on Armed Services · HouseActivity not recorded

Subjects

Accounting and auditing
Administrative law and regulatory procedures
Advanced technology and technological innovations
Advisory bodies
Afghanistan
Africa
Air quality
Alabama
Alaska
Alaska Natives and Hawaiians
Albania
Alliances

Show all 249 subjects

Alternative treatments

Senate · 100 House · 433

Model

v3defaultv2

Directional: count only breaks toward the other party Why do scores change?

How the House breaks down

35Swing 70–100
247Middle 30–70
149Entrenched 0–30
2Insufficient data not ranked

Members fall into . 2 representatives don’t have enough data yet and are marked “insufficient data”. Non-voting delegates are not counted. The bill is not before the House right now; these scores show where members would stand.

Key players in the House

Ranked by swing score, 0–100 · swing-v2

Bars show each input from 0 to 100: ideology gap, scorecard gap, . is the seat’s partisan lean, and shows how much of the input data a score has. Where the House has voted, each member’s appears with the projection made before it.

Similar past votes, House

Earlier behind swing-v3’s input

Cosponsors

1 active

Show all 1 cosponsors

Ted Cruz (R-TX)

How the swing score works

Ideology gapHow far a member’s DW-NOMINATE voting score sits from their party’s median in the same chamber.

Scorecard gapHow far their Heritage Action and LCV ratings stray from their party’s average, using the groups’ votes on similar bills where available.

Cross-pressureHow strongly their district or state leans toward the other party, from our own computed partisan lean.

Similar votesHow often they voted against their own party on earlier roll calls about this bill or similar ones.

Committee bonusMembers of the committees handling the bill decide whether it moves, so they get a boost.

Cosponsor checkThe sponsor and active cosponsors have already committed, so they drop toward entrenched.

Senate

On the MotionPassed77 yea, 20 nayDecember 17, 2025 · Roll call 648

How members in each band voted on this Senate vote, by their projection before the vote
BandBand before the vote	VotedVoted yea or nay	BrokeBroke with party	Share
Swing	4	1	25%
Middle	61	12	20%
Entrenched	30	7	23%
All voting members	95	20	21%

: Pair any member who broke with one who stayed with their party: in 49% of those pairs, the one who broke had the higher swing score before the vote. Chance would be 50%.

Projections from swing-v2, computed with data from before the vote. Present and not voting never count as breaking.