Congress Swing TrackerLegislative intelligence Swing vote analysis

H.R. 33: To amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to provide special rules for the taxation of certain residents of Taiwan with income from sources within the United States. · Congress Swing Tracker

H.R. 33119th CongressTaxation

To amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to provide special rules for the taxation of certain residents of Taiwan with income from sources within the United States.

Sponsored by Rep. Jason Smith (R-MO) · 46 active : 30 Republicans, 16 Democrats

Latest action: Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Finance.

Read the summary

Where it standsPassed House, now in the Senate

Passed House

House: passedJan 15, 2025
Senate: next
President: not yet

9 senators score as swing votes

Summary

, via Congress.gov

Summary on Congress.gov

The Congressional Research Service has not published a summary of this bill yet.

How the projections held up

Each member’s recorded vote compared with their swing projection from before the vote. A member by voting against most of their own party.

House

On PassagePassed423 yea, 1 nayJanuary 15, 2025 · Roll call 15

How members in each band voted on this House vote, by their projection before the vote
BandBand before the vote	VotedVoted yea or nay	BrokeBroke with party	Share
Swing	30	0	0%
Middle	160	0	0%
Entrenched	224	1	0%
All

Committees and subjects

Committees

House Committee on Rules · HouseReferred to
House Committee on Ways and Means · HouseReferred to
Senate Committee on Finance · SenateReferred to

Subjects

Accounting and auditing
Administrative law and regulatory procedures
Asia
Athletes
Congressional oversight
Department of the Treasury
Foreign and international corporations
Foreign property
Immigration status and procedures
Income tax rates
Interest, dividends, interest rates

Senate · 100 House · 433

Model

v3defaultv2

Directional: count only breaks toward the other party Why do scores change?

How the House breaks down

38Swing 70–100
181Middle 30–70
212Entrenched 0–30
2Insufficient data not ranked

Members fall into . 2 representatives don’t have enough data yet and are marked “insufficient data”. Non-voting delegates are not counted. The bill is not before the House right now; these scores show where members would stand.

Key players in the House

Ranked by swing score, 0–100 · swing-v2, directional

: only movement toward the other party counts, so members who sit further from the center than their party no longer score as swing votes.

Bars show each input from 0 to 100: ideology gap, scorecard gap, . is the seat’s partisan lean, and shows how much of the input data a score has.

Similar past votes, House

Earlier behind swing-v3’s input

Similar votes count toward swing-v3 in the House: total similarity weight 7.0 (needs 5.0).

H.R. 7024 · Jan 31, 2024 · Roll call 748On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendedTax Relief for American Families and Workers Act
PassedShared subjects×1.0
H.Res. 1156 · Apr 16, 2026 · Roll call 481On Agreeing to the ResolutionExpressing support for tax policies that support working families
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.J.Res. 25 · Mar 11, 2025 · Roll call 70On PassageProviding for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Internal Revenue Service relating to “Gross Proceeds Reporting by Brokers That Regularly Provide Services Effectuating Digital Asset Sales”
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 9495 · Nov 21, 2024 · Roll call 1195On PassageStop Terror-Financing and Tax Penalties on American Hostages Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 9495 · Nov 12, 2024 · Roll call 1176On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendedStop Terror-Financing and Tax Penalties on American Hostages Act
FailedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 8314 · Sep 17, 2024 · Roll call 1136On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendedNo Foreign Election Interference Act
FailedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 7980 · Sep 12, 2024 · Roll call 1135On PassageEnd Chinese Dominance of Electric Vehicles in America Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.Con.Res. 86 · Mar 21, 2024 · Roll call 815On Agreeing to the ResolutionExpressing the sense of Congress that a carbon tax would be detrimental to the United States economy
PassedSame policy area×0.5

Show 5 more

H.R. 3799 · Jun 21, 2023 · Roll call 281On PassageCHOICE Arrangement Act
PassedSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 3799 · Jun 21, 2023 · Roll call 279On Agreeing to the Amendment
Agreed toSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 3799 · Jun 21, 2023 · Roll call 278On Agreeing to the Amendment
Agreed toSame policy area×0.5
H.R. 3799 · Jun 21, 2023 · Roll call 277On Agreeing to the Amendment
FailedSame policy area×0.5

Cosponsors

46 active

Show all 46 cosponsors

Richard E. Neal (D-MA-1)
Aaron Bean (R-FL-4)
Adrian Smith (R-NE-3)
Beth Van Duyne (R-TX-24)
Blake D. Moore (R-UT-1)
Brian K. Fitzpatrick (R-PA-1)
Carol D. Miller (R-WV-1)
Claudia Tenney (R-NY-24)
Darin LaHood (R-IL-16)
Donald S. Beyer (D-VA-8)
Gregory F. Murphy (R-NC-3)
Gwen Moore (D-WI-4)
Jimmy Gomez (D-CA-34)
Jimmy Panetta (D-CA-19)
Judy Chu (D-CA-28)
Kevin Hern (R-OK-1)
Linda T. Sánchez (D-CA-38)
Lloyd Doggett

How the swing score works

Ideology gapHow far a member’s DW-NOMINATE voting score sits from their party’s median in the same chamber.

Scorecard gapHow far their Heritage Action and LCV ratings stray from their party’s average, using the groups’ votes on similar bills where available.

Cross-pressureHow strongly their district or state leans toward the other party, from our own computed partisan lean.

Similar votesHow often they voted against their own party on earlier roll calls about this bill or similar ones.

Committee bonusMembers of the committees handling the bill decide whether it moves, so they get a boost.

Cosponsor checkThe sponsor and active cosponsors have already committed, so they drop toward entrenched.

1
Jared F. GoldenDemocrat · Maine 2nd · Lean R+4On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Today92Swing
Vote on passage, Jan 15, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 89 Swing (today: 92)
ContactCall 202-225-6306 Website
2
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDemocrat · Washington 3rd · Lean R+2On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Today90Swing
Vote on passage, Jan 15, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 85 Swing (today: 90)
ContactCall
3
Don BaconRepublican · Nebraska 2nd · Lean D+3On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Today88Swing
Vote on passage, Jan 15, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 83 Swing (today: 88)
ContactCall
4
Henry CuellarDemocrat · Texas 28th · Lean R+2On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Today88Swing
Vote on passage, Jan 15, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 81 Swing (today: 88)
ContactCall
5
Thomas H. KeanRepublican · New Jersey 7th · Lean EVENOn the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Today86Swing
Vote on passage, Jan 15, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 80 Swing (today: 86)
ContactCall
6
David G. ValadaoRepublican · California 22nd · Lean R+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Today85Swing
Vote on passage, Jan 15, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 78 Swing (today: 85)
ContactCall
7
Donald G. DavisDemocrat · North Carolina 1st · Lean R+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Today84Swing
Vote on passage, Jan 15, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 76 Swing (today: 84)
ContactCall
8
Susie LeeDemocrat · Nevada 3rd · Lean D+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Today83Swing
Vote on passage, Jan 15, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 76 Swing (today: 83)
ContactCall
9
Laura GillenDemocrat · New York 4th · Lean D+2On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Today83Swing
Vote on passage, Jan 15, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 77 Swing (today: 83)
ContactCall
10
Adam GrayDemocrat · California 13th · Lean R+1On the ballot
Ideology gap
Scorecard gap
Cross-pressure
Today83Swing
Vote on passage, Jan 15, 2025:YeaProjected at the vote: 77 Swing (today: 83)
ContactCall